PUBLICATIONS

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Causes of the Uncertainty in Projections of Tropical Terrestrial Rainfall Change: East Africa

David P. Rowell and Robin Chadwick

Understanding why different climate models produce different projections of future regional climate change is critical for the evaluation of the reliability of their projections. This study investigates the causes of projection spread across CMIP5 models for seasonal mean rainfall change…

AMMA-2050 bias-corrected CMIP5 dataset

Serge Janicot and Adjoua Famien

FCFA researchers from the AMMA-2050 consortium have created a new CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) multi-model dataset that removes each model’s observed bias using a state-of-the-art quantile-quantile mapping procedure. This comprises daily data for 1950-2099, for 7 variables, 3…

On the Likelihood of Tropical–Extratropical Cloud Bands in the South Indian Convergence Zone during ENSO Events

Neil C. G. Hart, Richard Washington and Chris J. C. Reason

This study investigates how the seasonality in satellite-observed cloud band frequency emerges from the interplay between the asynchronous seasonal cycles in convective instability and upper-level flow, as represented by reanalysis data. These atmospheric mean states are diagnosed with a gross…

Climate change adaptation and cross-sectoral policy coherence in southern Africa

Matthew I. England, Andrew J. Dougill, Lindsay C. Stringer, Katharine E. Vincent, Joanna Pardoe, Felix K. Kalaba, David D. Mkwambisi, Emilinah Namaganda & Stavros Afionis

This paper, using the cases of Malawi, Tanzania and Zambia, investigates the extent of coherence in national policies across the water and agriculture sectors and to climate change adaptation goals outlined in national development plans. A two-pronged qualitative approach is…

IMPALA 2nd Science Meeting Report

IMPALA

The IMPALA consortium, based at the UK Met Office, aims to deliver a step change in global climate model capability with a focus on a convection-permitting model over the African continent (CP4-Africa). This report covers the second annual IMPALA science meeting held…

Literature Review - FCFA Applied Research Fund: Economics, Political Economy and Behavioural Science of Accounting for Long-term Climate in Decision Making Today

GCAP, Vivid Economics, UK Met Office and Atkins

This report summaries the findings of Phase 1 of the project 'Economics, Political Economy and Behavioural Science of Accounting for Long-term Climate in Decisions Making Today'. The study is being undertaken by the Global Climate Adaptation Partnership working with Vivid Economics,…

FCFA Mid-Term Conference Report

Jean-Pierre Roux, Zablone Owiti, Sultana Mapker, Julio Araujo, Nkulumo Zinyengere and Kristen Kennedy

The FCFA mid-term conference took place in Cape Town from 4th to 7th September 2017. This report presents an overview of the conference activities. It includes brief session reports for all conference sessions, summaries of key outcomes, and progress on FCFA…

How do sectoral policies support climate compatible development? An empirical analysis focusing on southern Africa

Matthew I. Englanda,⁎, Lindsay C. Stringera, Andrew J. Dougilla, Stavros Afionisa,

This paper develops and applies a qualitative content analysis to assess national sector policies of ten southern African countries to determine their approaches for water, agriculture, forestry and energy and their compatibility with the aims of the three dimensions of…

Climate change and the water–energy–food nexus: insights from policy and practice in Tanzania

Joanna Pardoe, Declan Conway, Emilinah Namaganda, Katharine Vincent, Andrew J. Dougill & Japhet J. Kashaigili

Using document analysis and key informant interviews, this article examines how climate change is addressed in policy, how it is being mainstreamed into water, energy and agriculture sector policies and the extent to which cross-sectoral linkages enable coordinated action.

Brief: Future climate projections for Malawi

UMFULA

This brief provides an overview of future climate change in Malawi, using results from the latest available climate model simulations. The UMFULA research team analysed 34 Global Climate Models (GCMs) that provide projections for Malawi to help planning and decision…