UMFULA: Uncertainty Reduction in Models for Understanding Development Applications

Project Timeline

1 Jun 15 - 1 Jun 19

Project Contact

Ms Estelle Rouhaud / Prof Declan Conway Project Manager / Principal Investigator


UMFULA (“river” in Zulu) is a four year research project that aims to improve climate information for decision-making in central and southern Africa, with a particular focus on Tanzania and Malawi. UMFULA is a global consortium of 13 institutions specialising in cutting edge climate science, impact modelling and socio-economic research.

Organisations Involved

  • Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment (London School of Economics and Political Science)
  • Kulima Integrated Development Solutions
  • University of Oxford
  • University of Cape Town
  • Sokoine University of Agriculture
  • Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources
  • University of Leeds
  • Council for Scientific and Industrial Research
  • University of Manchester
  • University of KwaZulu-Natal
  • University of Sussex
  • University of Dar Es Salaam
  • University of Yaoundé


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Climate Risk and Vulnerability- A Handbook for Southern Africa

This short animation accompanies the 2nd edition of the “Climate Risk and Vulnerability Handbook for Southern Africa” which presents the latest available scientific knowledge on the nature of climate change and its implications for the region. The handbook is an  important guide for climate and development practitioners, students, researchers, and policy-makers.


UMFULA's work in Malawi

UMFULA’s principal investigator, Declan Conway reflects on a field trip in Malawi and the work the project plans to do.

CDKN Webinar - What you always wanted to know about central and southern Africa’s climate

Climate modelling is a key tool in tackling the effects of climate change. Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) is a research programme that aims to generate fundamentally new climate science, and to ensure that this new science has an impact on human development across Africa. Dr Neil Hart presents a begginers’ guide, based on UMFULA’s work.


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UMFULA Meets With Malawian Government To Discuss Climate Information

FCFA and UMFULA hosted a panel discussion with members of the Government of Malawi. Discussions centred around the climate change agenda in Malawi, the need to provide robust and appropriate climate...

Future Climate Projections for Tanzania

The UMFULA research team of the FCFA programme has analysed 34 Global Climate Models that provide projections for Tanzania to try to distil robust messages and some key trends that may...